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Vuelta a España 2015: Stage 20

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Live coverage of stage 20 of the Vuelta a Espana, 175.8 kilometres from San Lorenzo de El Escorial to Cercedilla.

The day of reckoning is here. Tom Dumoulin (Giant-Alpecin) carries a six-second lead into the penultimate stage of the Vuelta a Espana, and with just Sunday afternoon's procession to Madrid to follow, it's really a case of now or never for Fabio Aru (Astana), who has four category 1 climbs to try and dislodge the Dutchman and make up those seconds.

152km remaining from 175km

The general classification picture was as follows at the start today:

Dumoulin gave himself some breathing room by putting three seconds into Aru at Avila yesterday, but he could well have had - relative - daylight between himself and the Italian when video footage emerged that suggested Aru had taken a hand sling from teammate Luis Leon Sanchez in the finale yesterday. After reviewing the evidence, however, the commissaires this morning

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The 11 riders in the leading group are Rubén Plaza (Lampre-Merida), Olivier Le Gac (FDJ), Adam Hansen (Lotto-Soudal) Jaco Venter (MTN-Qhubeka), Lawrance Warbasse (IAM Cycling), Dani Navarro (Cofidis) Jay McCarthy (Tinkoff-Saxo), José Gonçalves (Caja Rural-Seguros RGA), Eduard Vorganov (Katusha), Miguel Ángel Rubiano (Colombia) and Yukiya Arashiro (Europcar).

Aru, meanwhile, has a teammate up the road as part of this large chasing group. Luis Leon Sanchez could be a very useful foil later in the day...

Olivier Le Gac (FDJ) has dropped back to the chasing group in a bid to help his teammate Kenny Elissonde bridge up to the front. The full list of chasers is as follows: Kevin Reza (FDJ), Andrey Amador, Fran Ventoso (Movistar), Haimar Zubeldia (Trek), Carlos Quintero (Colombia), Joe Dombrowski (Cannondale-Garmin), Alexis Gougeard (Ag2r-La Mondiale), Sergio Henao (Team Sky), Andrey Zeits (Astana), Giovanni Visconti (Movistar), George Bennett (LottoNL-Jumbo), Luis León Sánchez (Astana), José Joaquín Rojas (Movistar), Pello Bilbao (Caja Rural-Seguros RGA), Nelson Oliveira (Lampre-Merida), Alberto Losada (Katusha), Matteo Montaguti (Ag2r-La Mondiale), Alessandro de Marchi (BMC), Valerio Conti (Lampre-Merida), David Arroyo (Caja Rural-Seguros RGA), Kenny Elissonde (FDJ), Alex Howes (Cannondale-Garmin), Carlos Verona (Etixx-Quick Step), Amael Moinard (BMC), Nicolas Roche (Team Sky), Jelle Vanendert, Jasper De Buyst (Lotto-Soudal), Alex Cano (Team Colombia), Romain Sicard (Europcar).

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A recap of the ten members of this leading group: Rubén Plaza (Lampre-Merida), Adam Hansen (Lotto-Soudal) Jaco Venter (MTN-Qhubeka), Lawrance Warbasse (IAM Cycling), Dani Navarro (Cofidis), Jay McCarthy (Tinkoff-Saxo), José Gonçalves (Caja Rural-Seguros RGA), Eduard Vorganov (Katusha), Moreno Moser (Cannondale-Garmin) and Yukiya Arashiro (Europcar).

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Aru has two Astana teammates in this large second group, currently 1:00 behind the leaders. Luis Leon Sanchez and Andrey Zeits are contributing nothing to the pace-setting in this group, saving themselves in the event that they can lend a helping hand to Aru later in the afternoon.

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Dani Navarro (Cofidis) is the highest-placed rider on general classification in the leading ten, though he is over an hour down in 30th place. Romain Sicard (Europcar) is the best-placed of all of the riders up the road, but the Frenchman is 16th at 19:21 and not yet a threat to anyone in the top ten overall.

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Plaza's determined, seated effort quickly sees him establish a decent gap over his erstwhile companion. He isn't waiting for company as he forges ahead with a little over four kilometres to go to the top of the Morcuera.

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David Arroyo (Caja Rural-RGA Seguros) appears to have crashed on the descent, though seemingly without consequences. Shortly afterwards, Eduard Vorganov overshoots a corner but manages to stay upright and rejoin the group.

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Giovanni Visconti, Andrey Amador and Fran Ventoso are all in this smaller group, which is now just 1:22 behind Plaza.

Meanwhile - and not for the first time this week - Giant-Alpecin have found a South African ally of circumstance in the main peloton. MTN-Qhubeka have begun to contribute to the chase effort, ostensibly with defending Louis Meintjes' 10th place in mind.

84km remaining from 175km

Plaza is currently on the uncategorised Alto Cerro San Pedro with a lead of 1:28 over the chasing group, which is being led by Fran Ventoso (Movistar).

The pace in the main peloton remains steady. Giant-Alpecin are massed on the front, while Fabio Aru is surrounded by a phalanx of Astana teammates just behind them.

Alessandro Vanotti (Astana) fell heavily yesterday but the Italian remains in the race to support Aru, albeit with gauze on his arms.

Aru, too, was a faller on yesterday's stage, though without consequence, but he was - even by his own standards - particularly tense at the finish yesterday. Never one to say much more than "Vedremo" while soft-pedalling away from reporters at stage finishes, in Avila, Aru simply decided to eschew press duties altogether. "Please can you go away?" he apparently told reporters as he shut himself into an Astana van yesterday afternoon. In Gazzetta dello Sport's account this morning, one couldn't help but detect a faint note of satisfaction as they described how the van scraped against a lamp post as it pulled away.

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The tight contest between Dumoulin and Aru has been inevitably described variously as a psychological battle, though the Dutchman gave short shrift to the idea when he spoke to the press after yesterday's stage. "I’m not interested in the mental combat. I’m more busy at gaining time,” Dumoulin said. This afternoon, he simply needs to stay glued to Aru's wheel. Bonus seconds will not be an issue with 40 riders so far up the road.

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Movistar are bringing a modicum of organisation to the chasers as they hit the base of the climb. It's badly needed - despite his obvious fatigue, Plaza has extended his lead back out to beyond two minutes.

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George Bennett (LottoNL-Jumbo) and Joe Dombrowski (Cannondale-Garmin) exchange turns on the front of the large chasing group in a bid to inject a bit of life into their pursuit.

George Bennett accelerates off the front of the chasing group. Alessandro De Marchi (BMC) looks to follow him. The better climbers in this group will want to whittle it down to more manageable dimensions, otherwise Ruben Plaza risks disappearing into the ether.

Giovanni Visconti slips clear after Bennett is pegged back. Soon afterwards, Kenny Elissonde (FDJ) looks to bridge across. Sergio Henao (Sky) alos puts in a dig, but there's a potentially fatal lack of cohesion in this chasing group.

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Riders are being jettisoned off the back of the main peloton on the Morcuera due to the effects of Cataldo's forcing. The top riders on GC - Dumoulin, Aru, Joaquim Rodriguez (Katusha), Rafal Majka (Tinkoff-Saxo) and Movistar duo Alejandro Valverde and Nairo Quintana - are all safely installed near the head of his reduced peloton.

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Back in the main peloton Fabio Aru sits in second wheel just behind Cataldo, and they are trying to break Dumoulin at this early juncture. They still have four kilometres or so of the climb to go.

Mikel Landa hits the front and accelerates with Aru on his wheel. Quintana and Majka are also following but Dumoulin has been distanced...

Dumoulin finds his rhythm and coolly bridges across to Landa, Aru, Quintana and Majka, bringing Valverde, Rodriguez and Nieve with him.

Valverde swings over, unable to match the pace laid down by Landa and Aru. Dumoulin, Quintana, Majka, Rodriguez, Chaves and Nieve are all still in touch in this increasingly select red jersey group.

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Mikel Landa launches another searing acceleration with Aru on his wheel. Dumoulin remains in fifth place, tucked in behind Quintana and Majka. If he can survive to the top of this climb, he will surely fancy his chances of holding onto Aru on the apparently less demanding Puerto de Cotos.

Alejandro Valverde, meanwhile, is alone some 25 seconds back on the red jersey group, and conceding ground each time Landa rises from the saddle. He risks slipping from 6th to 8th place overall if he doesn't manage to get back up to the group on the descent.

Aru accelerates off the front of the red jersey and opens a gap. Tom Dumoulin is left to lead the chase and he can't bridge the deficit...

Dumoulin is dropped in turn by Majka, Rodriguez, Quintana and Landa as the summit approaches. He is 20 seconds behind Aru on the road and is - virtually - out of the red jersey.

Aru is joined by Quintana, Majka, Rodriguez, Chaves and Mikel Landa as he crests the summit of the Morcuera. Dumoulin chases at 20 seconds in the company of Mikel Nieve...

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Landa piles on the pressure at the front of the Aru group on this descent. Dumoulin has closed the gap to 15 seconds, but it's going to take a monumental lone effort from the Dutchman to catch back up.

Jose Goncalves and Matteo Montaguti have joined De Marchi and Visconti in the second group on the road, 1:17 down on Ruben Plaza, but frankly, it's a side show at this juncture. This is all about the battle for the red jersey, and Fabio Aru is desperately trying to stretch out his advantage on the descent of the Morcuera.

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Fabio Aru is in a group with Quintana, Landa, Rodriguez, Majka and Chaves. They're 9 minutes behind Plaza but - crucially - 12 seconds ahead of the red jersey Tom Dumoulin.

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Astana have pulled Andrey Zeits and Luis Leon Sanchez back from the early break. Zeits puts in a huge turn on the front of the Aru group, and the gap to Dumoulin stretches out to 20 seconds once again. Shades of Kelme's famous, multi-pronged offensive on the road to the Angliru in 2000...

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It's an absurdly cruel sport. Dumoulin shakes his head ruefully. Two kilometres ago, he almost had Aru's coattails in his grasp. Now the Vuelta is ebbing away from him.

Dumoulin is is now 47 seconds behind the Aru group and is surely losing all hope of winning this Vuelta a Espana.

Katusha's Eduard Vorganov has sat up from the early break and joins in the pace-making duties at the head of the Aru group. Joaquim Rodriguez is eyeing up Dumoulin's provisional second place as the gap stretches out to 50 seconds.

Mikel Nieve (Sky) finally puts in a token effort to relieve Dumoulin, but it's not much help to the Dutchman at this juncture. The Giant-Alpecin team car draws alongside him and Dumoulin barely glances up. What is there to say at this point?

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The Aru group, meanwhile, is 7:12 down on Plaza but - crucially - 1:10 ahead of Dumoulin. The day began as an Aru versus Dumoulin battle, but may now be redrawn as Aru versus Rodriguez.

Dumoulin has been joined by Alex Howes in his small group. The American drives on the front but the deficit to Aru and Rodriguez continues to grow. He is 1:10 behind and risks dropping to third or even fourth place overall by day's end.

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Aru's Astana guard remain fixed on the front of the group of favourites. As it stands, the Sardinian is set to win the Vuelta a Espana. The only question now is whether Rodriguez and Quintana will be happy to take a free ride from Astana or if they will look to tack on attacks of their own as the summit draws near.

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Dumoulin is now 1:50 behind the Aru group, and has only Astana's Andrey Zeits for company. Zeits, of course, sits like a dead weight on the Dutchman's wheel.

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Nairo Quintana attacks from the Aru group in a bid to move his way into the top four - or better. Majka follows immediately, while Aru's Landa guard are happy to maintain their current tempo.

Dumoulin is 2:30 down on the Aru group and runs the very real risk of losing even the consolation of a place on the podium.

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The Aru group is still being led by Mikel Landa. Luis Leon Sanchez is also on board, along with Katusha's Rodriguez and Alberto Losada, and Esteban Chaves of Orica-GreenEdge.

Majka leads Quintana over the top of the Cotos, 4:30 down on Plaza. Majka looks set to move up to third overall this afternoon, as Dumoulin toils more than 3:30 down the road..

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Tom Dumoulin crests the summit of the Cotos as part of a sizeable group some 7:50 down on Plaza. He is almost four minutes down on Quintana and Majka, and 3:30 down on Aru.

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Tom Dumoulin is eight minutes behind Plaza and almost four minutes behind Aru and Rodriguez. The Dutchman will lose the red jersey and likely won't even have a place in the top five overall by day's end.

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Ruben Plaza (Lampre-Merida) wins stage 20 of the Vuelta a Espana after an improbable 114-kilometre solo break.

José Goncalves (Caja Rural-RGA Seguros) comes home in second place, just ahead of Alessandro De Marchi (BMC). They cross the line 1:06 down on Plaza.

Quintana and Majka have picked up a sizeable chunk of the early break in the closing kilometres and they come home 2:41 down on Plaza.

Fabio Aru, Joaquim Rodriguez and Esteban Chaves cross the line a little over 3:35 down. Aru will win the Vuelta a Espana, while Rodriguez will be second overall in Madrid tomorrow.

Fabio Aru is swarmed as he dismounts past the finish line. A soigneur and a press officer beat a path for him towards the podium. After yesterday's post-stage surliness, there are only smiles from the Sardinian this afternoon. The Vuelta is his.

Tom Dumoulin is still out on the road, and has just entered the final kilometre as part of a decent-sized group of beaten men.

Tom Dumoulin crosses the line 7:30 down on Plaza, the dream dead. Alejandro Valverde was also in the same group, along with Louis Meintjes.

Dumoulin drops to 6th place overall after an extremely trying day. Colombians Nairo Quintana and Esteban Chaves will be fourth and fifth overall.

Result:

General classification:

After receiving the red jersey on the podium, Fabio Aru pays tribute to his Astana teammates in the mixed zone, with a thought, too, for the absent Vincenzo Nibali and Paolo Tiralongo. "This victory is thanks to my teammates, it’s not just about me. They’ve been phenomenal for the whole Vuelta – Mikel, Luis Leon and Dario Cataldo – and we think of the guys who aren’t here, Paolo Tiralongo and Vincenzo Nibali. We had our difficulties at the start of this Giro but we’ve worked hard and we’ve been very united."

A forlorn Tom Dumoulin, meanwhile, holds court from the passenger seat of a team car, and right now he is struggling to draw positives from his Vuelta. “At the moment, it’s just disappointment. Tomorrow I will be proud but today it’s just disappointment,” he says sadly. “I was just empty, I had no legs. I had an idea that was the case but I just fought for what I was worth and in the end you just got to deal with it.”

Thanks for joining our live coverage of the Vuelta a Espana this afternoon. A full report, results and pictures will follow here, Alasdair Fotheringham will have all the news and reaction from Spain, and we'll be back with more live coverage on Cyclingnews from tomorrow evening's final stage in Madrid.

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